摘要高速铁路运营安全测度技术是以列车事故、列车状态、环境影响、人员管理等运营状态的数据为基础，对高速铁路运营状态进行的综合评价，并对未来发展态势进行预测。所以高速铁路安全测定技术对高速铁路安全运营水平进行的客观评价有助于正确认识高速铁路运营安全状态、发现高速铁路在运营存中在的问题、降低高速铁路运营存在的风险。研究高速铁路安全运营测度技术就是要对高速铁路运营体系进行综合分析，找出影响安全运营主客观因素，并在此基础上找出代表性强、易于量化且获取数据方便的指标建立高速铁路安全运营指标体系，并利用模糊识别的数学方法，建立高速铁路的测度模型。由于高速铁路的测度模型具有对过去已发生的事故、现今状态以及未来安全运营态势变化情况进行评估的功能，因此高速铁路运营安全测度模型可以有多种评价方法。本文主要利用模糊识别理论对高速铁路安全运营进行综合分析并结合统计、分析等方法对我国高速铁路安全运营态势进行预测研究。30545
关键词 高速铁路 测度模型 模糊识别
毕业论文设计说明书外文摘要
Title High-speed rail safety measure of the operating situation in research
Abstract
High-speed railway safety measure technology is the train accident, environmental impact, train, personnel management, and other operating state data, on the basis of comprehensive evaluation about the present situation of high speed railway, forecast the future development trend. So reason measurement technology for objective evaluation of high speed railway safety operation level will help correct understanding of high-speed railway security status, found problems of high speed railway operation, reduce operating risk of high speed railway. Research of high speed railway safe operation measure technology is a comprehensive analysis of high-speed railway system, the subjective and objective factors affecting safe operation, on the basis of the index according to the representative of strong, easy to quantify, data acquisition is convenient wait for a characteristic to establish index system of high speed railway safe operation, and by using mathematical method of fuzzy identification, establish the measure model of high-speed railway. Because the measure model of high-speed railway has in the past has accident, current state and future safety operation situation changes.
Keywords high speed railway measure model fuzzy recognition
目次
第一章 绪论 1
1.1国外铁路安全现状分析 1
1.2 国内铁路安全现状分析 2
第二章 高速铁路安全运营的测度指标体系 4
2.1高速铁路安全运营的评价指标体系 4
2.2 高速铁路安全运营评价的隐患指标体系 4
2.2.1 人员管理的评价指标体系 5
2.2.2 环境影响的评价指标体系 5
2.2.3 轨道线路的评价指标 7
2.2.4 车辆安全的评价指标体系 8
2.3 安全运营的事故指标体系 11
2.3.1 事故等级的评价指标体系 11
2.3.2 死亡人数的评价指标体系 12
2.3.3 事故损失程度的评价指标体系 12
第三章 基于模糊识别的高速铁路测度方法研究 14
3.1 模糊评价原理 14
3.2 模糊识别的指标选取 14
3.3 模糊识别高速铁路安全运营测度标准的确定 15
3.4模糊识别的建立 15
第四章 实例分析 18
4.1 数据统计 18 高速铁路安全运营态势的测度方法研究:http://www.youerw.com/zidonghua/lunwen_26300.html